Climate Strategy Physical and Transition Risk Climate Scenario Analysis
SinoPac Securities has established the Guidelines for Climate and Nature-Related Risk and Opportunity Management, which set out risk management procedures for identifying, measuring, monitoring, and formulating mitigation or adaptation measures for climate-related risks and opportunities. Each year, an internal questionnaire identifies how climate risks and opportunities affect the Company's business, strategy, and finances. The Company has built the related identification, measurement, monitoring, and reporting mechanisms, and uses qualitative or quantitative methods to develop response measures or monitoring mechanisms for the risks and opportunities that warrant attention.
Climate risks identified in 2025
Risk score = likelihood × impact; a higher number means higher risk.
| Category | Risk event | Potential financial impact | Time horizon | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transition
|
Economic changes from climate-related laws and policies |
|
Long term |
9 |
|
Tighter policies or regulations on carbon pricing, carbon taxes, or emission/reduction targets and reporting obligations |
|
Medium term |
9 | |
|
Changes in customer behavior and rising environmental sustainability awareness |
|
Medium term |
9 | |
|
Technological improvements or emerging technologies affecting future development |
|
Medium term |
4 | |
|
Energy mix changes reducing the stability of power supply |
|
Long term |
9 | |
|
Rising raw material prices |
|
Medium term |
12 | |
|
Increased stakeholder attention to climate change |
|
Long term |
2 | |
| Physical
|
More frequent and severe typhoons, heavy rainfall, and other extreme weather |
|
Medium term |
6 |
|
More frequent and severe landslides, slope disasters, and other extreme weather |
|
Medium term |
6 | |
|
More frequent and severe drought, water shortage, and other extreme weather |
|
Medium term |
4 | |
|
Global sea level rise flooding some low-lying areas and damaging assets |
|
Long term |
2 | |
|
Wildfires |
|
Long term |
6 | |
| Liability |
Litigation or liability claims arising from failure to establish climate/nature governance, reduce GHG emissions, adequately disclose climate/nature risks, or adjust business strategy, or from environmental harm or third-party property loss caused by borrowers/investees |
|
Long term |
4 |
Mitigation and adaptation measures for high-materiality risks (score ≥ 9)
| Category | Risk event | Mitigation and adaptation measures |
|---|---|---|
| Transition |
Economic changes from climate-related laws and policies |
|
| Transition |
Tighter policies or regulations on carbon pricing, carbon taxes, or emission/reduction targets and reporting obligations |
|
| Transition |
Changes in customer behavior and rising environmental sustainability awareness |
|
Note: The risk table shows scores of 9 or above also for "energy mix changes" (9) and "rising raw material prices" (12), but the mitigation table on the original page lists only the three items above.
Climate opportunities identified in 2025
| Category | Opportunity | Potential impact | Time horizon | Response |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Products and services |
More green finance products and services |
In line with government environmental policy, underwriting green bonds, green energy/environmental projects, or investing in green industries adds green finance products, expands business, and increases revenue. |
Medium term |
|
|
Products and services |
Engagement with clients |
Engaging investees helps companies understand international sustainability and green energy requirements and grasp transition solutions, exercising institutional investors' positive influence. This benefits the environment and consolidates existing client relationships, enhances reputation, improves chances of winning lead-underwriting and advisory mandates, lowers the Company's climate risk, and raises revenue. |
Medium term |
|
|
Markets |
More green finance product issuance and green investment; seeking related business and opportunities |
Issuing/investing in green bonds or joining underwriting for green-energy industries helps enter new markets, capture circular economy opportunities, and raise revenue. |
Medium term |
|
| Markets |
Diversifying nature-related financial products |
Growing government, investor, and consumer attention to nature-related issues (including biodiversity and nature-friendly practices) creates an emerging market; actively developing diversified nature-related financial products and services raises revenue. |
Medium term |
|
Physical and Transition Risk Climate Scenario Analysis
In line with the parent SinoPac Holdings' TCFD task force work on physical and transition risk scenario analysis and financial impact quantification, physical and transition climate scenario analyses are conducted separately for different parts of the value chain, under different climate scenarios and time horizons.
Physical climate resilience assessment |
|---|
SinoPac Securities and its domestic and overseas subsidiaries assess physical climate risk across the whole value chain. An overview chart (image on the original page) shows the physical risk factors and real estate types covered; a wildfire risk factor is added from 2025/12/31. Summary exposure distribution:
Transition risk climate scenario analysis |
|---|
The Glasgow Climate Pact at COP26 in November 2021 opened with the UN Secretary-General's declaration on keeping 1.5°C within reach, ending fossil fuel subsidies, applying carbon pricing, and phasing out coal. Net zero by 2050 has become an international consensus, accelerating global decarbonization. Under this trend and Taiwan's own low-carbon transition targets, companies that transition, or fail to transition in time, will bear extra costs (procurement, construction, carbon costs, etc.), which may cause investment losses for the financial sector.
In line with the parent SinoPac Holdings, the Company quantifies potential financial impact under different climate scenarios and time horizons for three risks: (1) companies possibly paying extra "carbon costs" (carbon credits, carbon taxes, or carbon fees), using SBT 1.5°C and well-below-2°C pathway scenarios; (2) "energy transition" arising from mandatory installed-capacity quotas under the government's low-carbon transition targets (NDC); and (3) pass-through of suppliers' carbon costs. An overview of the transition risk scenario analysis is shown in a chart (image on the original page).